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| 区县域土地利用碳排放模型在上海崇明区的应用 |
| Application of County Carbon Emission Model for Land Use in Chongming District， Shanghai |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 碳排放模型 LMDI模型 土地利用 区县域 崇明区 |
| 英文关键词: Carbon emission model LMD model Land use County Chongming District |
| 基金项目:上海市科委科研计划基金资助项目（18DZ2253900）；教育部产学合作协同育人基金资助项目（202102245031） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 以上海崇明区为研究区域，在传统省域碳排放模型的基础上，提出一种区县域碳排放模型估算崇明区2015年、2017年、2019年和2021年碳排放，并利用LMDI模型分析了碳排放驱动因素。结果表明，崇明岛碳排放总体呈减少趋势，长兴岛和横沙岛碳排放呈增长趋势；经济效应对崇明区碳排放增加有正向驱动作用，结构效应和技术效应能够有效抑制碳排放，人口效应对崇明区碳排放影响较小；面向“碳中和岛”“低碳岛”和“零碳岛”目标，须因地制宜采取增汇和减排措施。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Taking Chongming District， Shanghai as the research area， a county carbon emission model was established to estimate the carbon emissions in Chongming District in 2015，2017，2019 and 2021 based on traditional provincial carbon emission model， and the driving factors of carbon emissions were analyzed by LMDI mo del. Results indicated that carbon emissions showed a decreasing trend in Chongming Island，but an increasing trend in Changxing Island and Hengsha Island. The economic effect had a positive driving effect on the increase of carbon emissions in Chongming District. The structural and technical effects effectively suppress carbon emi ssions. The population effect had little impact on carbon emissions in Chongming District. Toward the goals of “carbon neutral island”“low carbon island” and “zero carbon island”， it was necessary to adopt measures to increase carbon sink and reduce carbon emission according to local conditions. |
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