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文章摘要
区域水生态韧性对新型城镇化影响的时空异质性分析
Spatial Temporal Heterogeneity Analysis of the Impact of Regional Water Ecological Resilience on New type Urbanization
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 水生态韧性  新型城镇化  时空异质性  长江经济带
英文关键词: Water ecological resilience  New type urbanization  Spatial temporal heterogeneity  The Yangtze River Economic Belt
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(72363022);江西省自然科学重点基金资助项目(20232ACB203024);江西省社会科学基金资助项目(22GL56D)
作者单位
阚大学 江西水利电力大学经济贸易学院 
吕连菊 江西水利电力大学经济贸易学院 
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中文摘要:
      以长江经济带为研究区域,运用Sys-GMM法探讨水生态韧性对新型城镇化影响的时空异质性,并构建IOWHA组合模型,预测2025—2035年新型城镇化进程下水生态韧性。结果表明:长江经济带水生态韧性提升1%,新型城镇化水平提高0163%。长江经济带水生态韧性对新型城镇化的影响存在时间异质性,在实施“水生态文明城市试点”和 “水十条”政策前水生态韧性均未显著促进新型城镇化,实施后其显著提升了新型城镇化水平;长江经济带水生态韧性对新型城镇化的影响在经济发展水平、环境规制强度、行政级别、产业结构水平和地理位置不同的地区存在空间异质性。2025—2035年伴随新型城镇化水平的提高,长江经济带水生态韧性呈先下降后上升趋势。
英文摘要:
      Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt as the research area, Sys GMM was used to explore the spatial temporal heterogeneity of the impact of water ecological resilience on new type urbanization. A combination model of IOWHA was constructed to predict the water ecological resilience in the process of new type urbanization from 2025 to 2035. The results showed that the water ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt increased by 1%, and the new type urbanization level increased by 0163%. The impact of water ecological resilience on new type urbanization in the Yangtze River Economic Belt had temporal heterogeneity. Before the implementation of the “pilot projects for water ecological civilization cities” and the “Water Ten Measures”, water ecological resilience did not significantly promote new type urbanization, but after implementation, the level of new type urbanization was significantly improved. The impact of water ecological resilience on new type urbanization in the Yangtze River Economic Belt had spatial heterogeneity in regions with different economic development levels, environmental regulation intensities, administrative levels, industrial structure levels and geographical locations. With the improvement of new type urbanization from 2025 to 2035, the water ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt would show a trend of first decreasing and then rising.
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